Michiel van Lelyveld
The SparkCity symposium: predicting EV uptake and smart charging
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On the afternoon of the 13thΒ of November we will present the SparkCity model that explores questions like:
- What can we expect in terms of adoption of electric vehicles?
- How could the national government most effectively accelerate adoption?
- What is the (public) charging infrastructure needed under different scenarios?
- How could municipalities and charge point operators use that knowledge?
- What is the impact of smart charging on renewable energy and the grid?
The SparkCity model used to be called the ABCD-model (agent-based, buying, charging, driving model). At our βcoming out partyβ on the 13thΒ of November we will move from that somewhat dry and functional work-title to the new nameΒ SparkCity. The βSparkβ symbolizes the move to electricity that is inherent in the move to a renewable energy and mobility system. It also symbolizes that we want to spark creativity, inspiration and good policy. The βCityβ refers to the fact that we recreate entire places to live inside our model in the computer. (We could also have called it SparkNeighborhood or SparkNation butβ¦ nah).
The SparkCity model is not a conventional top-down model but a so-called agent-based model. Simply put we load maps of actual neighborhoods into the computer and animate them with βlivingβ people (and their obedient energy consuming and supplying machines). Weβve already modeled seven representative neighborhoods.
Once the neighborhoods are in the computer we can cheaply conduct all kinds of experiments. For example: what will happen if batteries and thus electric vehicles keep getting cheaper? Will the people in our representative neighborhoods buy them?
And this is just one example. We can also look at the impact of many, many other changes. For example: the impact of battery size, faster charging, smart charging, the number of public charge points, et cetera. We also plan on adding solar panels, heat pumps, self driving and car sharing.
An agent-based model enables us to be more realistic and to take much more variables and natural diversity into account. This is especially important when modelling disruptive innovation and cannot be done any other way.
We are very proud of our work so far and hope youβll join us on November the 13th! Attendance is free but the number of places is limited and the audience is filling-up nicely so please sign-up in advance by sending a mail toΒ info@elaad.nl.
The program
12:30 Reception at ElaadNL in Arnhem
13:00 β 14:45 A Tour of the SparkCity model (with Q&A after each presentation)
- Maarten SteinbuchΒ (Symposium chair and distinguished prof. at the TU/e):
Introduction: why the TU/e, ElaadNL and NKL support models of radical disruption like SparkCity - Auke HoekstraΒ (founder of the model and senior advisor electric mobility at the TU/e):
Model overview: why we modeled seven entire neighborhoods (so far) in the computer - Peter HogeveenΒ (modeler and consultant at EV Consult):
A prediction for EV adoption based on types of cars, people and neighborhoods - Anand VijayashankarΒ (modeler and researcher at the TU/e):
How municipalities and car manufacturers influence the need for public chargers - Michiel van LelyveldΒ (modeled smart charging for his master thesis at the UU):
The impact of smart charging on renewable energy supply and the electricity grid
14:45 Coffee Break
15:15 Practical Applications of the SparkCity Model
- Peter SwartΒ (municipality of Arnhem):
How Arnhem wants to anticipate future developments by using the model - Gijs van der PoelΒ (EV expert, formerly at Over Morgen, now at Alliander):
Different charge point roll-out scenarioβs: implications for municipalities and CPOs - Arjan WargersΒ (innovation manager at ElaadNL):
The impact of EV adoption, car types, municipal strategies and smart charging on the grid - Discussion with sponsorsΒ (TU/e, ElaadNL and NKL), experts and audience:
How can the SparkCity model be useful going forward?
16:30 Informal Reception
Engage in networking and ask one-on-one questions while drinks and snacks are being served.